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Access Merit Order - a new tool for effective realization of SDG no. 7

Created Oct 02 2015, 6:04 AM by Tom Erichsen

Dear readers,

 

Differ has developed a new tool to be used when devising electrification strategies aimed at realizing the SDG no. 7 in terms of universal access to electricity services - with the highest possible development impact.

 

Introduction:

The Sustainable Development Goal no. 7 of achieving universal access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy by 2030 was recently adopted by the UN General Assembly. The fact that the objective is linked to increased access to electricity and not to the increased amount of electricity generated sends a clear message that it is the share of households with access which is assumed to be the true driver of human development. Hence, in order to maximize development impact, focus going forward should be on maximizing access to reliable electricity services for the budget available, rather than maximizing added power generation capacity.

 

The problem in this context is that the standard analysis frameworks applied by Governments, institutions and donors for developing electrification plans and policies fail to properly capture the development value of access to electricity. The standard Power Merit Order prioritizes projects based on cost per Watt installed or per kilowatt hour (kWh) generated. However, research indicates that the value of a kWh in a development perspective is dependent on its use. The development value is likely higher for one kWh used to provide high quality evening lighting to 60 off-grid households, relative to running one machine wash or 45 minutes of air conditioning for one grid connected household with the same kWh. Hence, as a balance to the Power Merit Order, we have developed the Access Merit Order. Instead of measuring cost per “unit of power” (i.e. per Watt or kWh), this new framework measures cost per “unit of access”. In order to get the highest possible development impact per dollar invested in electrification, the Access Merit Order should be actively used alongside the Power Merit Order when electrification strategies are devised and revised going forward.

 

Description of the tool:

Read the 2-page description of the tool here: http://www.differgroup.com/analysis/p/Introducing-Access-Merit-Order-to-reach-Sustainable-Development-Goal-no-7?ctl=Details&did=11&mid=6116

 

See also the this analysis for more background on the topic: http://www.differgroup.com/analysis/p/The-way-towards-universal-access---Putting-value-on-electricity-services?ctl=Details&did=8&mid=6116

 

Hope you will find this new approach interesting and useful.

 

Best regards,

Tom

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Tom Erichsen

 

Differ

www.differgroup.com

Mobile: +47 91 67 40 41

Storgata 26

N-0184 Oslo

NORWAY

  •  |   1

    Dear Tom,

     

    Excellent piece of work!

     

    Point taken that it is a simplified model, I would still like to stress the point that the difference will even be more nuanced if we take into consideration that the grid does not per definition provides tier 4 services. In fact for the case of Bangladesh where we looked very closely on the performance of different HHs based on the GTF (Groh S, Pachauri S, Rao N - What are we measuring? An empirical analysis of household electricity access metrics in rural Bangladesh. Upcoming), we find that SHS often perform better than the grid operated by the Rural Elelctrification Board (REB). The critical factor here is the attribute of the multi-tier framework reliability, 3-4h of supply between 6pm-10pm can often be matched by a SHS but less so by the REB grid.

     

    At the same time, it might do some injustice to the grid as well since the tier escalation levels are not linear, most likely it is much harder to rise from tier 2 to tier 3 than from tier 1 to tier 2 and so forth.

     

    Again, excellent work, and very effective in terms of simple illustration!

     

    BW, Sebastian Groh

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